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Trader

0x1fd861f8ace78120a4a1fb49136306131b611de3
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$277
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
19W / 120L · 19 open
Win Return (30d)
14%
21W / 126L · 11 open
Trades (30d)
158
across 41 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$8.95
avg win $2 · loss $12
Profit Factor
0.05
$15 won / $292 lost
Reward / Risk
0.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$3
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,651 · all-time $352,546

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 20.9% 93W/351L 173 $8,913
💵 Economy 41.7% 5W/7L 12 $311
₿ Crypto 14.3% 1W/6L 4 $82
⚽ Sports 2 $61

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

12 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by August 31? Yes 90 0.460 $41.40 $-6.50 -13.6%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap hit 2.75T in 2026? No 35 0.595 $20.82 $6.48 +45.2%
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by August 31? No 40 0.485 $19.40 $-1.00 -4.9%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026? No 40 0.445 $17.80 $-2.20 -11.0%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap dip to 1.75T in 2026? No 20 0.715 $14.30 $0.30 +2.1%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $158 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 23 0.555 $12.77 $1.26 +11.0%
Will Total Crypto Market Cap dip to 1.5T in 2026? No 20 0.485 $9.70 $-7.10 -42.3%
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $105B by August 31? (copy) Yes 20 0.270 $5.40 $-3.40 -38.6%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31? Yes 60 0.035 $2.12 $-2.08 -49.4%
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $148 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 3 0.670 $2.01 $0.06 +3.1%
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $690 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 40 0.011 $0.42 $-4.38 -91.2%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 2 0.175 $0.32 $0.10 +48.0%