| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
285 |
0.541 |
$154.39 |
$-40.66 |
-20.8% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? |
No |
118 |
0.910 |
$107.67 |
$17.38 |
+19.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
99 |
1.000 |
$98.63 |
$24.49 |
+33.0% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? |
No |
188 |
0.440 |
$82.82 |
$3.44 |
+4.3% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
208 |
0.353 |
$73.52 |
$2.31 |
+3.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
77 |
0.850 |
$65.82 |
$28.10 |
+74.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
57 |
0.998 |
$57.05 |
$19.02 |
+50.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
54 |
0.999 |
$54.06 |
$14.08 |
+35.2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
No |
59 |
0.895 |
$52.49 |
$12.52 |
+31.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
53 |
0.915 |
$48.35 |
$18.41 |
+61.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
49 |
0.945 |
$46.02 |
$13.37 |
+40.9% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
67 |
0.635 |
$42.32 |
$-7.67 |
-15.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
49 |
0.845 |
$41.09 |
$23.78 |
+137.3% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
40 |
0.990 |
$39.58 |
$19.59 |
+98.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 5? |
Yes |
34 |
1.000 |
$34.14 |
$14.15 |
+70.8% |
| Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
Yes |
33 |
0.993 |
$32.66 |
$17.21 |
+111.4% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
275 |
0.115 |
$31.62 |
$-23.38 |
-42.5% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
45 |
0.635 |
$28.56 |
$-1.31 |
-4.4% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? |
Yes |
31 |
0.905 |
$28.28 |
$8.28 |
+41.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
No |
31 |
0.795 |
$24.45 |
$4.46 |
+22.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 6? |
Yes |
61 |
0.365 |
$22.11 |
$2.12 |
+10.6% |
| Will Dalia Al-Aqidi be the MN-05 Republican nominee? |
No |
76 |
0.285 |
$21.60 |
$1.61 |
+8.0% |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? |
Yes |
25 |
0.835 |
$20.88 |
$0.88 |
+4.4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
84 |
0.245 |
$20.70 |
$3.80 |
+22.5% |
| Will Dana White attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? |
No |
20 |
0.970 |
$19.40 |
$7.80 |
+67.2% |