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Trader leaderboard/0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

0x1f85eb9c455c5bdef5d96c2739076678c7157b02
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$245
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
2,452W / 2,536L · 205 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
2,461W / 2,544L · 188 open
Trades (30d)
5,193
across 1,577 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.17
avg win $3 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.90
$2,237 won / $2,482 lost
Reward / Risk
0.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$207
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $50,862 · all-time $1,593,944

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.5% 11,481W/10,404L 6608 $286,501
🌤 Weather 42.8% 461W/616L 372 $8,947
⚽ Sports 39.1% 168W/262L 260 $5,940
🏛 Politics 39.9% 67W/101L 70 $6,740
🎬 Culture 37.7% 49W/81L 39 $2,757
💵 Economy 48.6% 17W/18L 21 $2,593
₿ Crypto 71.4% 5W/2L 7 $39
🤖 Tech 16.7% 2W/10L 5 $135

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

98 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? No 411 0.996 $409.39 $0.39 +0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? No 411 0.995 $408.98 $0.21 +0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? No 411 0.993 $408.16 $-1.03 -0.3%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 438 0.652 $286.04 $45.25 +18.8%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? No 262 0.999 $261.48 $0.44 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? No 204 1.000 $203.83 $44.76 +28.1%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 458 0.355 $162.57 $-43.50 -21.1%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.49 $58.15 +63.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.48 $6.53 +4.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.48 $1.14 +0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.48 $0.38 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 5? No 148 1.000 $148.22 $148.22 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? No 147 1.000 $147.23 $21.26 +16.9%
Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 133 0.996 $132.27 $-0.33 -0.3%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? Yes 144 0.906 $130.93 $130.93 +0.0%
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 74 0.955 $70.45 $1.88 +2.7%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? Yes 66 0.850 $56.46 $56.46 +0.0%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 55 0.540 $29.73 $29.73 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5? No 29 1.000 $29.40 $0.04 +0.1%
Will Modena FC win on 2026-08-08? No 23 0.989 $22.34 $22.34 +0.0%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-08? No 23 0.989 $22.34 $22.34 +0.0%
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 23 0.958 $22.03 $14.21 +181.8%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 66 0.225 $14.94 $14.94 +0.0%
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 230 0.048 $11.06 $-12.21 -52.5%
Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? No 11 1.000 $10.72 $0.01 +0.0%