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Trader leaderboard/0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

0x1f85eb9c455c5bdef5d96c2739076678c7157b02
PnL (30d)
+$5,094
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$109
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+2.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
11,460W / 10,391L · 1,346 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
11,885W / 10,705L · 607 open
Trades (30d)
23,197
across 6,608 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.86
avg win $9 · loss $8
Profit Factor
1.22
$28,375 won / $23,282 lost
Reward / Risk
1.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$618
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,593,944

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.4% 11,460W/10,391L 6608 $286,501
🌤 Weather 42.5% 456W/616L 373 $8,955
⚽ Sports 39.0% 168W/263L 261 $5,942
🏛 Politics 39.9% 67W/101L 70 $6,755
🎬 Culture 37.1% 49W/83L 39 $2,771
💵 Economy 48.6% 18W/19L 23 $2,597
₿ Crypto 70.0% 7W/3L 10 $59
🤖 Tech 16.7% 2W/10L 5 $135

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

100 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? No 411 0.996 $409.39 $0.62 +0.2%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? No 411 0.995 $408.98 $-0.02 -0.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? No 411 0.993 $408.36 $-0.82 -0.2%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 438 0.630 $276.35 $35.56 +14.8%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? No 262 0.999 $261.48 $0.44 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? No 204 1.000 $203.83 $44.76 +28.1%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 458 0.365 $167.15 $-38.93 -18.9%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.49 $58.15 +63.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.48 $6.53 +4.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.48 $1.14 +0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.48 $0.38 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 5? No 148 1.000 $148.22 $148.22 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? No 147 0.992 $146.12 $20.16 +16.0%
Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 133 0.994 $132.07 $-0.53 -0.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? Yes 144 0.902 $130.36 $130.36 +0.0%
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 74 0.949 $70.01 $1.44 +2.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? Yes 66 0.850 $56.46 $56.46 +0.0%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 55 0.535 $29.45 $29.45 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5? No 29 1.000 $29.40 $0.04 +0.1%
Will Modena FC win on 2026-08-08? No 23 0.977 $22.07 $22.07 +0.0%
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 23 0.958 $22.02 $14.20 +181.6%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-08? No 23 0.970 $21.91 $21.91 +0.0%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 66 0.235 $15.61 $15.61 +0.0%
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 230 0.064 $14.74 $-8.52 -36.6%
Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? No 11 0.999 $10.71 $-0.01 -0.0%