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Trader leaderboard/0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

0x1f85eb9c455c5bdef5d96c2739076678c7157b02
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$77
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-7.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
44W / 44L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
50%
44W / 44L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
91
across 56 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$1.45
avg win $1 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.27
$29 won / $106 lost
Reward / Risk
0.21
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,593,944

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.5% 11,480W/10,404L 6608 $286,501
🌤 Weather 42.9% 462W/616L 373 $8,955
⚽ Sports 39.0% 168W/263L 261 $5,942
🏛 Politics 39.4% 67W/103L 70 $6,755
🎬 Culture 37.1% 49W/83L 39 $2,771
💵 Economy 48.6% 18W/19L 23 $2,597
₿ Crypto 70.0% 7W/3L 10 $59
🤖 Tech 16.7% 2W/10L 5 $135

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

98 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? No 411 0.998 $410.21 $1.44 +0.4%
Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? No 411 0.996 $409.60 $0.41 +0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Hilal? No 411 0.994 $408.57 $-0.44 -0.1%
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 438 0.674 $295.46 $54.67 +22.7%
Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? No 262 0.999 $261.48 $0.44 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? No 204 1.000 $203.83 $44.76 +28.1%
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? No 458 0.335 $153.41 $-52.66 -25.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.49 $58.15 +63.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.48 $6.53 +4.5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.48 $1.14 +0.8%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 5? No 151 1.000 $150.48 $0.38 +0.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 5? No 148 1.000 $148.22 $148.22 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? No 147 1.000 $147.23 $21.26 +16.9%
Will Monty Fritts win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 133 0.994 $132.07 $-0.53 -0.4%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? Yes 144 0.903 $130.50 $130.50 +0.0%
Will John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 74 0.953 $70.30 $1.73 +2.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? Yes 66 0.850 $56.46 $56.46 +0.0%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 55 0.538 $29.62 $29.62 +0.0%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 5? No 29 1.000 $29.40 $0.04 +0.1%
Will Modena FC win on 2026-08-08? No 23 0.976 $22.05 $22.05 +0.0%
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No 23 0.959 $22.05 $14.23 +181.9%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-08-08? No 23 0.960 $21.68 $21.68 +0.0%
Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election? No 230 0.064 $14.63 $-8.64 -37.1%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? No 66 0.220 $14.61 $14.61 +0.0%
Will Vinicius Junior join Chelsea? No 11 0.999 $10.71 $-0.01 -0.0%