| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? |
No |
287 |
0.949 |
$272.67 |
$26.18 |
+10.6% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
No |
189 |
0.945 |
$178.95 |
$8.52 |
+5.0% |
| Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
802 |
0.175 |
$140.35 |
$-12.03 |
-7.9% |
| Trump out as President before 2027? |
No |
149 |
0.935 |
$139.34 |
$5.22 |
+3.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
135 |
1.000 |
$135.14 |
$93.47 |
+224.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
247 |
0.483 |
$119.49 |
$13.59 |
+12.8% |
| Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? |
Yes |
640 |
0.170 |
$108.80 |
$7.01 |
+6.9% |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? |
Yes |
420 |
0.255 |
$107.10 |
$6.90 |
+6.9% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
111 |
0.951 |
$105.49 |
$0.79 |
+0.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? |
No |
125 |
0.840 |
$105.00 |
$8.30 |
+8.6% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
310 |
0.275 |
$85.25 |
$-17.15 |
-16.7% |
| Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? |
Yes |
294 |
0.280 |
$82.29 |
$-24.36 |
-22.8% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
231 |
0.355 |
$82.17 |
$-8.11 |
-9.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? |
No |
465 |
0.175 |
$81.38 |
$-76.89 |
-48.6% |
| Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? |
No |
93 |
0.875 |
$81.26 |
$5.76 |
+7.6% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
No |
80 |
0.991 |
$79.24 |
$0.04 |
+0.1% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
No |
90 |
0.854 |
$77.09 |
$-2.95 |
-3.7% |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? |
No |
81 |
0.933 |
$75.68 |
$11.00 |
+17.0% |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? |
No |
87 |
0.860 |
$74.99 |
$28.58 |
+61.6% |
| Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? |
No |
120 |
0.618 |
$74.16 |
$45.90 |
+162.4% |
| Celonis IPO before 2027? |
No |
80 |
0.910 |
$72.80 |
$10.40 |
+16.7% |
| Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? |
No |
120 |
0.600 |
$72.00 |
$38.40 |
+114.3% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? |
No |
79 |
0.884 |
$70.11 |
$6.92 |
+11.0% |
| Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? |
No |
90 |
0.755 |
$67.95 |
$5.55 |
+8.9% |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
78 |
0.870 |
$67.86 |
$40.52 |
+148.2% |