MMstrategy
0x1ccdc17b17212ec9392a54fe66cca137f01b5330
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$6
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-2.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
36%
4W / 7L
Win Return (30d)
36%
4W / 7L
Trades (30d)
11
across 9 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$0.64
avg win $22 · loss $18
Profit Factor
0.94
$86 won / $92 lost
Reward / Risk
1.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$38
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,505 · all-time $691,663
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.051 |
$101.82 |
$-127.27 |
-55.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.018 |
$7.40 |
$0.20 |
+2.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.018 |
$7.20 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.007 |
$3.00 |
$-4.20 |
-58.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.003 |
$1.00 |
$-6.20 |
-86.1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.002 |
$0.60 |
$-6.60 |
-91.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.001 |
$0.40 |
$-4.80 |
-92.3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
400 |
0.001 |
$0.20 |
$-5.80 |
-96.7% |