PnL (30d)

+$433

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$25

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+36.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

20%

56W / 222L · 33 open

Win Return (30d)

19%

58W / 250L · 3 open

Trades (30d)

311

across 88 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$5.41

avg win $90 · loss $11

Profit Factor

1.59

$1,165 won / $732 lost

Reward / Risk

8.20

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$57

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	20.1% 56W/222L	88	$1,705
🏛 Politics	5.9% 2W/32L	13	$162
🎬 Culture	5.9% 2W/32L	13	$162
⚽ Sports	75.0% 3W/1L	4	$122

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	Yes	2,000	0.051	$101.82	$-127.27	-55.6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	400	0.023	$9.20	$2.00	+27.8%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	400	0.007	$3.00	$-4.20	-58.3%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	400	0.003	$1.00	$-6.20	-86.1%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	400	0.002	$0.60	$-6.60	-91.7%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	400	0.002	$0.60	$-4.60	-88.5%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	400	0.001	$0.20	$-5.80	-96.7%