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MMstrategy

0x1ccdc17b17212ec9392a54fe66cca137f01b5330
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$547
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$21
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+95.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
18%
29W / 132L · 26 open
Win Return (30d)
17%
31W / 156L
Trades (30d)
187
across 43 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$14.39
avg win $227 · loss $11
Profit Factor
2.52
$906 won / $359 lost
Reward / Risk
21.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$35
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $4,505 · all-time $691,663

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 20.1% 56W/222L 88 $1,705
🏛 Politics 5.9% 2W/32L 13 $162
🎬 Culture 5.9% 2W/32L 13 $162
⚽ Sports 75.0% 3W/1L 4 $122

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? Yes 2,000 0.051 $101.82 $-127.27 -55.6%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 400 0.019 $7.80 $0.60 +8.3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 400 0.018 $7.40 $0.20 +2.8%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Yes 400 0.007 $3.00 $-4.20 -58.3%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 400 0.003 $1.00 $-6.20 -86.1%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 400 0.002 $0.60 $-6.60 -91.7%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 400 0.001 $0.40 $-4.80 -92.3%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 400 0.001 $0.20 $-5.80 -96.7%