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Trader

0x15e108b7a4ebc658bdbe2cd41ec1ca0ba8261b3d
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$5
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$2
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+1.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
45%
5W / 6L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
45%
9W / 11L
Trades (30d)
20
across 9 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$0.99
avg win $4 · loss $1
Profit Factor
3.04
$7 won / $2 lost
Reward / Risk
4.56
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,280 · all-time $77,836

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.7% 183W/178L 159 $9,974
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 5 $308
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $115
⚽ Sports 2 $141
🤖 Tech 2 $128
🏛 Politics 1 $88

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

22 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 100 0.645 $64.50 $-2.50 -3.7%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 90 0.675 $60.75 $-9.45 -13.5%
Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026? No 80 0.675 $54.00 $-2.00 -3.6%
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026? No 95 0.545 $51.90 $-19.52 -27.3%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? Yes 105 0.440 $46.20 $-31.20 -40.3%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes 70 0.625 $43.75 $-5.25 -10.7%
Will Brandon Lowe hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 45 0.925 $41.62 $1.17 +2.9%
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? No 50 0.825 $41.25 $-0.25 -0.6%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? No 40 0.952 $38.06 $4.06 +11.9%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? Yes 60 0.605 $36.30 $-3.90 -9.7%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? Yes 55 0.645 $35.48 $-3.57 -9.2%
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 60 0.585 $35.10 $-5.10 -12.7%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 25 0.875 $21.88 $-0.38 -1.7%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? No 35 0.465 $16.28 $-14.18 -46.6%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31? Yes 21 0.660 $13.96 $-4.10 -22.7%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? No 20 0.685 $13.70 $-1.30 -8.7%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? No 15 0.750 $11.25 $0.15 +1.4%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 11 0.540 $5.86 $-1.30 -18.2%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? Yes 5 0.320 $1.60 $-1.75 -52.2%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? Yes 15 0.004 $0.07 $-9.84 -99.3%
Will 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries? Yes 25 0.001 $0.03 $-3.86 -99.4%
Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election? Yes 24 0.001 $0.01 $-11.38 -99.9%