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Trader

0x15e108b7a4ebc658bdbe2cd41ec1ca0ba8261b3d
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$3
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
74%
25W / 9L · 31 open
Win Return (30d)
66%
38W / 20L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
65
across 18 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$0.40
avg win $2 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.36
$12 won / $9 lost
Reward / Risk
0.81
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $2,230 · all-time $77,786

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 50.7% 183W/178L 159 $9,974
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 5 $308
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $115
⚽ Sports 2 $141
🤖 Tech 2 $128
🏛 Politics 1 $88

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

21 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 100 0.640 $64.00 $-3.00 -4.5%
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? No 90 0.680 $61.20 $-9.00 -12.8%
Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026? No 80 0.675 $54.00 $-2.00 -3.6%
Will T1 Win KeSPA Cup 2026? No 95 0.505 $48.09 $-23.33 -32.7%
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $60B by December 31? Yes 105 0.450 $47.25 $-30.15 -39.0%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes 70 0.625 $43.75 $-5.25 -10.7%
Will Brandon Lowe hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? No 45 0.925 $41.62 $1.17 +2.9%
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 60 0.665 $39.90 $-0.30 -0.7%
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? No 40 0.972 $38.86 $4.86 +14.3%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? Yes 60 0.635 $38.10 $-2.10 -5.2%
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026? Yes 55 0.645 $35.48 $-3.57 -9.2%
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? No 25 0.875 $21.88 $-0.38 -1.7%
Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? No 35 0.465 $16.28 $-14.18 -46.6%
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31? Yes 21 0.660 $13.96 $-4.10 -22.7%
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? No 20 0.685 $13.70 $-1.30 -8.7%
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? No 15 0.755 $11.32 $0.22 +2.0%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? No 11 0.555 $6.02 $-1.14 -15.9%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? Yes 5 0.315 $1.57 $-1.77 -53.0%
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? Yes 15 0.005 $0.07 $-9.84 -99.2%
Will 6–7 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries? Yes 25 0.002 $0.04 $-3.84 -99.0%
Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election? Yes 24 0.001 $0.01 $-11.38 -99.9%