| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
6 |
1.000 |
$5.95 |
$2.20 |
+58.7% |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.07 |
$1.62 |
+47.0% |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.960 |
$5.04 |
$0.89 |
+21.5% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
5 |
0.995 |
$5.03 |
$1.63 |
+48.1% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
5 |
0.971 |
$4.85 |
$1.10 |
+29.4% |
| Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%? |
No |
5 |
0.859 |
$4.29 |
$0.29 |
+7.4% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
5 |
0.848 |
$4.27 |
$-0.03 |
-0.7% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
5 |
0.839 |
$4.22 |
$-0.13 |
-3.1% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? |
No |
5 |
0.805 |
$4.15 |
$0.95 |
+29.8% |
| Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? |
No |
5 |
0.810 |
$4.05 |
$0.25 |
+6.6% |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
No |
5 |
0.795 |
$4.02 |
$-0.03 |
-0.6% |
| Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
5 |
0.733 |
$3.66 |
$0.91 |
+33.2% |
| Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
No |
5 |
0.710 |
$3.64 |
$-0.36 |
-9.0% |
| Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? |
No |
5 |
0.705 |
$3.52 |
$0.72 |
+25.9% |
| Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee? |
No |
5 |
0.705 |
$3.52 |
$-0.17 |
-4.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.550 |
$2.80 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.510 |
$2.63 |
$-0.52 |
-16.4% |
| Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? |
No |
5 |
0.385 |
$2.04 |
$-1.46 |
-41.7% |
| Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
No |
5 |
0.355 |
$1.87 |
$-1.13 |
-37.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
5 |
0.215 |
$1.07 |
$-2.33 |
-68.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
5 |
0.175 |
$0.92 |
$-1.93 |
-67.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
5 |
0.100 |
$0.51 |
$-1.79 |
-77.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
5 |
0.055 |
$0.29 |
$-2.11 |
-88.0% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.049 |
$0.25 |
$-2.85 |
-91.8% |