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Trader

0x15a1924ff2db3cf1725311aca723f2912cff1ffb
PnL (30d)
−$61
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
39%
71W / 110L · 17 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
80W / 118L
Trades (30d)
198
across 81 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.95
avg win $3 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.61
$93 won / $155 lost
Reward / Risk
0.64
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$22
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $92 · all-time $303,392

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 39.2% 71W/110L 81 $726
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 4 $12
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/25L 4 $112
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

23 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? No 6 1.000 $5.95 $2.20 +58.7%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 5 1.000 $5.07 $1.62 +47.0%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? No 5 0.996 $5.04 $1.64 +48.2%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 5 0.956 $5.02 $0.87 +21.0%
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? No 5 0.971 $4.85 $1.10 +29.4%
Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%? No 5 0.937 $4.68 $0.68 +17.1%
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? No 5 0.846 $4.26 $-0.04 -1.0%
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? No 5 0.838 $4.21 $-0.14 -3.1%
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? No 5 0.800 $4.13 $0.93 +29.0%
Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? No 5 0.795 $3.98 $0.17 +4.6%
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? No 5 0.731 $3.65 $0.90 +32.9%
Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? No 5 0.710 $3.64 $-0.36 -9.0%
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? No 5 0.705 $3.52 $0.72 +25.9%
Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee? No 5 0.705 $3.52 $-0.17 -4.7%
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 5 0.590 $3.05 $-0.10 -3.3%
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No 5 0.560 $2.85 $0.05 +1.8%
Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? No 5 0.445 $2.36 $-1.14 -32.6%
Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? No 5 0.355 $1.87 $-1.13 -37.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 5 0.215 $1.07 $-2.33 -68.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? No 5 0.165 $0.87 $-1.98 -69.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? No 5 0.115 $0.59 $-1.71 -74.4%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? No 5 0.060 $0.31 $-2.09 -87.0%
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? No 5 0.052 $0.27 $-2.83 -91.3%