| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
6 |
1.000 |
$5.95 |
$2.20 |
+58.7% |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
1.000 |
$5.07 |
$1.62 |
+47.0% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
5 |
0.997 |
$5.04 |
$1.64 |
+48.3% |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.954 |
$5.01 |
$0.86 |
+20.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
5 |
0.971 |
$4.85 |
$1.10 |
+29.4% |
| Will Donavan McKinney win the MI-13 Democratic primary by less than 4%? |
No |
5 |
0.937 |
$4.68 |
$0.68 |
+17.1% |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? |
No |
5 |
0.849 |
$4.27 |
$-0.03 |
-0.6% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
5 |
0.838 |
$4.21 |
$-0.14 |
-3.1% |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? |
No |
5 |
0.805 |
$4.15 |
$0.95 |
+29.8% |
| Will Charlie Hatcher be the TN-05 Republican nominee? |
No |
5 |
0.800 |
$4.00 |
$0.20 |
+5.3% |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? |
No |
5 |
0.790 |
$4.00 |
$-0.05 |
-1.2% |
| Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%? |
No |
5 |
0.731 |
$3.65 |
$0.90 |
+32.9% |
| Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
No |
5 |
0.710 |
$3.64 |
$-0.36 |
-9.0% |
| Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? |
No |
5 |
0.715 |
$3.58 |
$0.77 |
+27.7% |
| Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee? |
No |
5 |
0.705 |
$3.52 |
$-0.17 |
-4.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.555 |
$2.83 |
$0.03 |
+0.9% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.530 |
$2.74 |
$-0.41 |
-13.1% |
| Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee? |
No |
5 |
0.390 |
$2.07 |
$-1.43 |
-40.9% |
| Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary? |
No |
5 |
0.355 |
$1.87 |
$-1.13 |
-37.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
5 |
0.215 |
$1.07 |
$-2.33 |
-68.4% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
5 |
0.175 |
$0.92 |
$-1.93 |
-67.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
5 |
0.115 |
$0.59 |
$-1.71 |
-74.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
5 |
0.060 |
$0.31 |
$-2.09 |
-87.0% |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.052 |
$0.27 |
$-2.83 |
-91.2% |