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Trader leaderboard/DualDelta

DualDelta

0x15433540ca3794108e602bfd353189519af8baaf
Scoped to Tech — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$0
Tech · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$267
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
—
no 30d activity
Win Return (30d)
86%
12W / 2L
Trades (30d)
14
across 6 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
—
no settled positions
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $46,328 · all-time $2,164,281

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 12.5% 2W/14L 22 $33,252
🏛 Politics — 5 $4,069
🤖 Tech — 3 $8,667
💵 Economy — 3 $9,701

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes 5,475 0.895 $4,900.35 $185.58 +3.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes 25,061 0.115 $2,881.96 $-2,147.26 -42.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? No 3,796 0.355 $1,347.57 $635.05 +89.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 3,439 0.380 $1,306.90 $-41.12 -3.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Yes 2,500 0.455 $1,137.50 $-212.50 -15.7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 6,946 0.143 $996.80 $381.48 +62.0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 33,801 0.024 $811.23 $0.00 +0.0%
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes 1,972 0.405 $798.51 $211.47 +36.0%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes 4,470 0.175 $782.26 $-277.26 -26.2%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Yes 9,000 0.085 $765.00 $-225.00 -22.7%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes 3,570 0.175 $624.72 $-1,208.21 -65.9%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes 14,141 0.040 $558.58 $-384.35 -40.8%
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes 6,096 0.085 $518.18 $-427.03 -45.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? No 1,854 0.215 $398.59 $268.82 +207.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? Yes 8,248 0.048 $395.91 $-348.32 -46.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes 4,739 0.080 $379.16 $-252.39 -40.0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes 10,000 0.024 $240.00 $100.00 +71.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes 995 0.215 $213.94 $64.68 +43.3%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? Yes 15,068 0.013 $203.41 $-1,121.40 -84.6%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes 3,118 0.064 $198.00 $-329.28 -62.4%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? Yes 3,136 0.049 $152.08 $-663.01 -81.3%
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes 226 0.590 $133.46 $42.98 +47.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 157 0.765 $119.96 $42.95 +55.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? Yes 3,242 0.036 $118.33 $-76.18 -39.2%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No 1,151 0.085 $97.87 $-108.44 -52.6%