PnL (30d)

−$573

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-39.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 6L · 8 open

Win Return (30d)

36%

5W / 9L

Trades (30d)

14

across 6 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$572.89

· loss $573

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $573 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	12.5% 2W/14L	22	$33,252
🏛 Politics	—	5	$4,069
🤖 Tech	—	3	$8,667
💵 Economy	—	3	$9,701

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?	Yes	5,475	0.895	$4,900.35	$185.58	+3.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	25,061	0.115	$2,881.96	$-2,147.26	-42.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	No	3,796	0.355	$1,347.57	$635.05	+89.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	No	3,439	0.380	$1,306.90	$-41.12	-3.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	2,500	0.455	$1,137.50	$-212.50	-15.7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6,946	0.143	$996.80	$381.48	+62.0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	33,801	0.024	$811.23	$0.00	+0.0%
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,972	0.405	$798.51	$211.47	+36.0%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	4,470	0.175	$782.26	$-277.26	-26.2%
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	9,000	0.085	$765.00	$-225.00	-22.7%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	3,570	0.175	$624.72	$-1,208.21	-65.9%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	14,141	0.040	$558.58	$-384.35	-40.8%
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?	Yes	6,096	0.085	$518.18	$-427.03	-45.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	1,854	0.215	$398.59	$268.82	+207.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	Yes	8,248	0.048	$395.91	$-348.32	-46.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	4,739	0.080	$379.16	$-252.39	-40.0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	10,000	0.024	$240.00	$100.00	+71.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	995	0.215	$213.94	$64.68	+43.3%
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	15,068	0.013	$203.41	$-1,121.40	-84.6%
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	3,118	0.064	$198.00	$-329.28	-62.4%
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?	Yes	3,136	0.049	$152.08	$-663.01	-81.3%
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	226	0.590	$133.46	$42.98	+47.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	157	0.765	$119.96	$42.95	+55.8%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	Yes	3,242	0.036	$118.33	$-76.18	-39.2%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	1,151	0.085	$97.87	$-108.44	-52.6%