PnL (30d)

+$5

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$11

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.4%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

5W / 7L · 3 open

Win Return (30d)

53%

8W / 7L

Trades (30d)

15

across 6 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$1.30

avg win $3 · loss $1

Profit Factor

4.48

$7 won / $1 lost

Reward / Risk

4.48

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.2% 90W/70L	127	$1,941
🏛 Politics	100.0% 3W/0L	19	$72
💵 Economy	—	3	$36
₿ Crypto	—	2	$34

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

93 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	56	0.740	$41.19	$9.44	+29.7%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?	Yes	56	0.595	$33.51	$5.77	+20.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	39	0.795	$31.30	$9.14	+41.3%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	29	0.885	$25.93	$1.70	+7.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	30	0.775	$23.00	$1.43	+6.6%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	Yes	28	0.730	$20.22	$1.75	+9.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?	No	24	0.635	$15.52	$2.08	+15.5%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026?	No	14	0.967	$13.74	$0.52	+3.9%
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?	No	15	0.900	$13.28	$0.15	+1.1%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026?	Yes	29	0.425	$12.37	$-0.37	-2.9%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	29	0.415	$12.22	$4.12	+50.9%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	20	0.615	$12.15	$3.61	+42.2%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?	Yes	36	0.320	$11.40	$1.69	+17.4%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	12	0.935	$11.32	$1.32	+13.2%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	No	26	0.435	$11.31	$-0.80	-6.6%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	49	0.230	$11.21	$0.20	+1.9%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	20	0.560	$11.21	$1.58	+16.4%
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?	No	9	0.960	$9.03	$0.36	+4.1%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31?	No	11	0.810	$8.75	$0.66	+8.1%
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30?	No	12	0.670	$8.24	$0.25	+3.1%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	25	0.290	$7.12	$0.25	+3.6%
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?	Yes	19	0.350	$6.77	$1.16	+20.7%
Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?	No	19	0.320	$6.19	$0.69	+12.6%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	10	0.545	$5.71	$1.55	+37.1%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15	0.375	$5.50	$1.65	+42.9%