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Trader

0x1516df6aecb4b039448590fdb9dcfd85c4183f5a
PnL (30d)
+$41
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$34
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+3.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
56%
90W / 70L · 200 open
Win Return (30d)
63%
224W / 134L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
360
across 127 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
+$0.96
avg win $5 · loss $3
Profit Factor
1.71
$98 won / $57 lost
Reward / Risk
1.88
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$7
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $325 · all-time $12,913

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.2% 90W/70L 127 $1,941
🏛 Politics 100.0% 3W/0L 19 $100
💵 Economy 3 $36
₿ Crypto 2 $34

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

93 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes 56 0.740 $41.19 $9.44 +29.7%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? Yes 56 0.595 $33.51 $5.77 +20.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? No 39 0.805 $31.69 $9.54 +43.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? No 29 0.885 $25.93 $1.70 +7.0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No 30 0.775 $23.00 $1.43 +6.6%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? Yes 28 0.720 $19.95 $1.48 +8.0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? No 24 0.635 $15.52 $2.08 +15.5%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by August 31, 2026? No 14 0.967 $13.74 $0.52 +3.9%
Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? Yes 29 0.465 $13.53 $0.79 +6.2%
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No 15 0.900 $13.28 $0.15 +1.1%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 29 0.415 $12.22 $4.12 +50.9%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 20 0.585 $11.56 $3.01 +35.3%
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? Yes 36 0.320 $11.40 $1.69 +17.4%
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No 12 0.935 $11.32 $1.32 +13.2%
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No 26 0.435 $11.31 $-0.80 -6.6%
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? Yes 49 0.230 $11.21 $0.20 +1.9%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.560 $11.21 $1.58 +16.4%
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No 9 0.960 $9.03 $0.36 +4.1%
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by August 31? No 11 0.810 $8.75 $0.66 +8.1%
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? No 12 0.665 $8.17 $0.18 +2.3%
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? Yes 25 0.290 $7.12 $0.25 +3.6%
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? Yes 19 0.355 $6.87 $1.26 +22.4%
Will Keith Kellogg visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No 19 0.320 $6.19 $0.69 +12.6%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.545 $5.71 $1.55 +37.1%
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 15 0.385 $5.65 $1.80 +46.7%