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Trader leaderboard/frozenriver

frozenriver

0x143732d8a06bd1596c694f7873cd493be80aacfe
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$92
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 3L · 57 open
Win Return (30d)
95%
57W / 3L
Trades (30d)
60
across 4 markets · ~15 per market
EV / position
−$1.00
· loss $1
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $210,710 · all-time $14,272,323

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 13.7% 187W/1,180L 353 $3,147
₿ Crypto 12.3% 7W/50L 23 $182
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/13L 5 $114
🏛 Politics 5 $228
⚽ Sports 1 $1,002

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 1,700 0.647 $1,100.62 $91.77 +9.1%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No 1,000 0.395 $394.50 $384.50 +3845.0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 200 0.745 $149.00 $78.00 +109.9%
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 444 0.305 $135.35 $134.91 +30400.0%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 220 0.605 $133.10 $77.70 +140.3%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? Yes 235 0.560 $131.62 $-17.30 -11.6%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No 370 0.355 $131.34 $-68.44 -34.3%
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No 140 0.900 $126.00 $42.70 +51.3%
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? No 100 0.987 $98.60 $87.11 +758.0%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No 130 0.747 $97.05 $11.25 +13.1%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026? Yes 140 0.500 $70.00 $-14.30 -17.0%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 130 0.400 $52.00 $-5.20 -9.1%
Will Uber say "Delivery" 10+ times during earnings call? No 100 0.470 $47.00 $46.00 +4600.0%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No 250 0.180 $45.00 $-3.00 -6.2%
Will Uber say "Drone" during earnings call? No 100 0.445 $44.50 $43.50 +4350.0%
Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call? No 100 0.445 $44.50 $43.50 +4350.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026? Yes 115 0.355 $40.82 $-13.77 -25.2%
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? Yes 47 0.780 $36.34 $-1.00 -2.7%
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? Yes 111 0.320 $35.50 $12.26 +52.8%
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? No 24 0.959 $23.28 $5.98 +34.6%
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? Yes 51 0.440 $22.51 $11.80 +110.2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 26 0.855 $22.41 $8.48 +60.9%
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes 453 0.044 $19.93 $12.47 +167.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? Yes 200 0.060 $12.00 $1.00 +9.1%
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 997 0.011 $10.47 $9.47 +950.0%