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Trader leaderboard/frozenriver

frozenriver

0x143732d8a06bd1596c694f7873cd493be80aacfe
PnL (30d)
−$330
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$659
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
187W / 1,180L · 186 open
Win Return (30d)
19%
299W / 1,252L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
1,553
across 353 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
−$1.02
avg win $12 · loss $5
Profit Factor
0.75
$981 won / $1,311 lost
Reward / Risk
2.15
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$358
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $210,138 · all-time $14,271,751

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 13.7% 187W/1,180L 353 $3,147
₿ Crypto 11.1% 12W/96L 34 $208
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/13L 5 $114
🏛 Politics 5 $228
⚽ Sports 1 $1,002

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

33 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 1,700 0.630 $1,071.55 $62.70 +6.2%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No 1,000 0.395 $394.50 $384.50 +3845.0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 200 0.745 $149.00 $78.00 +109.9%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? Yes 235 0.610 $143.37 $-5.54 -3.7%
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 444 0.323 $143.12 $142.67 +32150.0%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 220 0.605 $133.10 $77.70 +140.3%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No 370 0.357 $132.26 $-67.51 -33.8%
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No 140 0.890 $124.60 $41.30 +49.6%
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? No 100 0.987 $98.60 $87.11 +758.0%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No 130 0.744 $96.72 $10.92 +12.7%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026? Yes 140 0.530 $74.20 $-10.10 -12.0%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026? Yes 115 0.395 $45.42 $-9.17 -16.8%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No 250 0.180 $45.00 $-3.00 -6.2%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 130 0.315 $40.95 $-16.25 -28.4%
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? Yes 47 0.795 $37.04 $-0.30 -0.8%
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? Yes 88 0.300 $26.50 $7.00 +35.9%
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? No 24 0.957 $23.24 $5.94 +34.3%
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? Yes 51 0.440 $22.51 $11.80 +110.2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 26 0.850 $22.28 $8.35 +59.9%
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes 453 0.044 $19.93 $12.47 +167.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? Yes 200 0.065 $13.00 $2.00 +18.2%
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 997 0.011 $10.47 $9.47 +950.0%
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes 18 0.465 $8.56 $4.70 +121.6%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9? Yes 1,030 0.007 $7.73 $1.55 +25.0%
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Yes 486 0.013 $6.56 $-3.50 -34.8%