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Trader leaderboard/frozenriver

frozenriver

0x143732d8a06bd1596c694f7873cd493be80aacfe
Scoped to Culture — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$187
Culture · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$0
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-99.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 94L · 1 open
Win Return (30d)
1%
1W / 94L
Trades (30d)
95
across 21 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$9.35
· loss $9
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $187 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$114
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $210,190 · all-time $14,271,803

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 13.7% 187W/1,180L 353 $3,147
₿ Crypto 12.3% 7W/50L 23 $182
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/13L 5 $114
🏛 Politics 5 $228
⚽ Sports 1 $1,002

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? No 1,700 0.664 $1,128.67 $119.81 +11.9%
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No 1,000 0.395 $394.50 $384.50 +3845.0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No 200 0.745 $149.00 $78.00 +109.9%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? Yes 235 0.610 $143.37 $-5.54 -3.7%
Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 444 0.313 $138.90 $138.46 +31200.0%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No 220 0.605 $133.10 $77.70 +140.3%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No 370 0.358 $132.45 $-67.33 -33.7%
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No 140 0.905 $126.70 $43.40 +52.1%
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? No 100 0.987 $98.60 $87.11 +758.0%
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No 130 0.745 $96.78 $10.99 +12.8%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 16, 2026? Yes 140 0.530 $74.20 $-10.10 -12.0%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? No 130 0.365 $47.45 $-9.75 -17.0%
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No 250 0.180 $45.00 $-3.00 -6.2%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026? Yes 115 0.385 $44.27 $-10.32 -18.9%
Iran successfully targets shipping by September 30, 2026? Yes 47 0.795 $37.04 $-0.30 -0.8%
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? Yes 111 0.290 $32.18 $8.93 +38.4%
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? No 24 0.957 $23.24 $5.94 +34.3%
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? Yes 51 0.440 $22.51 $11.80 +110.2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No 26 0.855 $22.41 $8.48 +60.9%
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes 453 0.044 $19.93 $12.47 +167.2%
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 August 3-9? Yes 200 0.055 $11.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? Yes 997 0.011 $10.47 $9.47 +950.0%
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? Yes 18 0.460 $8.47 $4.60 +119.2%
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by August 31? Yes 486 0.013 $6.56 $-3.50 -34.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 August 3-9? Yes 1,030 0.004 $4.64 $-1.55 -25.0%