apb1899
0x138a5ece3bb1216dcbb3dce010d71f02bddb8197
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$3
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$8
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
2W / 2L · 39 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
21W / 22L
Trades (30d)
43
across 19 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.92
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.22
$1 won / $4 lost
Reward / Risk
0.44
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $924 · all-time $125,143
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
21 |
0.955 |
$19.90 |
$-0.10 |
-0.5% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.918 |
$18.37 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.886 |
$17.73 |
$-0.03 |
-0.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
20 |
0.885 |
$17.70 |
$0.10 |
+0.6% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
20 |
0.855 |
$17.10 |
$-0.90 |
-5.0% |