apb1899
0x138a5ece3bb1216dcbb3dce010d71f02bddb8197
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$1
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
80%
4W / 1L · 13 open
Win Return (30d)
54%
7W / 6L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
18
across 11 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.44
avg win $1 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.52
$1 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
0.26
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $924 · all-time $125,143
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? |
No |
21 |
0.955 |
$19.90 |
$-0.10 |
-0.5% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.918 |
$18.37 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
Yes |
20 |
0.886 |
$17.73 |
$-0.03 |
-0.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
No |
20 |
0.875 |
$17.50 |
$-0.10 |
-0.6% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
20 |
0.855 |
$17.10 |
$-0.90 |
-5.0% |