PnL (30d)

+$80

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$8

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.7%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

75%

101W / 33L · 77 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

129W / 67L · 15 open

Trades (30d)

211

across 129 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

+$0.88

avg win $8 · loss $20

Profit Factor

1.18

$528 won / $448 lost

Reward / Risk

0.38

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$100

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	75.4% 101W/33L	129	$6,665
🏛 Politics	—	8	$293
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	5	$212
₿ Crypto	100.0% 2W/0L	4	$190
🎬 Culture	—	3	$77
🤖 Tech	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$60
🌤 Weather	100.0% 2W/0L	2	$81
🔬 Science	—	1	$39

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

5 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	21	0.955	$19.90	$-0.10	-0.5%
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?	No	20	0.918	$18.37	$-0.01	-0.1%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	20	0.900	$18.00	$0.00	+0.0%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	20	0.886	$17.73	$-0.03	-0.2%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	20	0.875	$17.50	$-0.10	-0.6%