PnL (30d)

−$474

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$144

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-5.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

62%

53W / 33L · 50 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

80W / 56L

Trades (30d)

136

across 58 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$15.28

avg win $14 · loss $51

Profit Factor

0.34

$242 won / $716 lost

Reward / Risk

0.28

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$69

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	62.9% 237W/140L	199	$40,619
₿ Crypto	44.4% 4W/5L	22	$2,179
💵 Economy	28.6% 2W/5L	20	$1,827
🤖 Tech	—	2	$246

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

68 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	1,106	0.540	$597.06	$-2.94	-0.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	784	0.635	$497.82	$-2.18	-0.4%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	452	0.994	$449.41	$49.41	+12.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	479	0.790	$378.25	$-21.75	-5.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	993	0.345	$342.49	$42.49	+14.2%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?	No	335	0.991	$332.32	$62.32	+23.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?	No	252	0.943	$237.44	$-0.56	-0.2%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	249	0.935	$232.89	$12.89	+5.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	234	0.845	$197.41	$-2.59	-1.3%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	Yes	524	0.365	$191.44	$-25.56	-11.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	375	0.480	$180.19	$167.69	+1341.6%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?	No	157	0.885	$139.07	$19.07	+15.9%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	Yes	170	0.725	$123.56	$-26.44	-17.6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of August 3 2026?	Yes	122	1.000	$122.16	$67.16	+122.1%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	1,841	0.065	$119.63	$19.63	+19.6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?	No	124	0.950	$117.56	$17.56	+17.6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of August 3 2026?	No	110	0.983	$108.02	$8.02	+8.0%
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	117	0.905	$105.55	$5.55	+5.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August?	No	109	0.965	$105.07	$5.07	+5.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August?	Yes	104	1.000	$104.34	$54.34	+108.7%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August?	No	104	0.977	$101.77	$1.77	+1.8%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August?	No	110	0.925	$101.65	$1.65	+1.6%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?	No	105	0.964	$101.42	$1.42	+1.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	800	0.125	$100.00	$20.00	+25.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?	No	108	0.858	$92.20	$-7.80	-7.8%