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Trader leaderboard/SpyVsSpy

SpyVsSpy

0x1137007b7133aeecf66e4c456c5663b4f12b4ed5
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$466
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$51
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
61%
55W / 35L · 21 open
Win Return (30d)
58%
64W / 47L
Trades (30d)
111
across 48 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$14.11
avg win $14 · loss $48
Profit Factor
0.36
$258 won / $723 lost
Reward / Risk
0.30
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$69
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,449 · all-time $720,377

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.9% 237W/140L 199 $40,619
₿ Crypto 44.4% 4W/5L 22 $2,179
💵 Economy 28.6% 2W/5L 20 $1,827
🤖 Tech 2 $246

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

68 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No 1,106 0.540 $597.06 $-2.94 -0.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No 784 0.635 $497.82 $-2.18 -0.4%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No 452 0.994 $449.41 $49.41 +12.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No 479 0.785 $375.86 $-24.14 -6.0%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No 993 0.345 $342.49 $42.49 +14.2%
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? No 335 0.997 $334.17 $64.17 +23.8%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? No 252 0.943 $237.56 $-0.44 -0.2%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? Yes 249 0.935 $232.89 $12.89 +5.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 234 0.840 $196.24 $-3.76 -1.9%
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes 524 0.365 $191.44 $-25.56 -11.8%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August? No 157 0.865 $135.93 $15.93 +13.3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August? Yes 170 0.760 $129.52 $-20.48 -13.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? Yes 1,841 0.065 $119.63 $19.63 +19.6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August? No 124 0.930 $115.09 $15.09 +15.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 Week of August 3 2026? No 110 0.987 $108.41 $8.41 +8.4%
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No 117 0.905 $105.55 $5.55 +5.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August? No 109 0.965 $105.02 $5.02 +5.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in August? No 104 0.977 $101.77 $1.77 +1.8%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? No 105 0.967 $101.74 $1.74 +1.7%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in August? No 110 0.925 $101.65 $1.65 +1.6%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 800 0.125 $100.00 $20.00 +25.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? No 108 0.898 $96.61 $-3.39 -3.4%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August? Yes 104 0.910 $95.00 $45.00 +90.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? No 141 0.640 $90.14 $-9.86 -9.9%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes 500 0.175 $87.50 $37.50 +75.0%