| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
218 |
0.135 |
$29.39 |
$-1.67 |
-5.4% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.875 |
$14.61 |
$6.22 |
+74.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
85 |
0.165 |
$14.01 |
$-1.27 |
-8.3% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.989 |
$11.26 |
$0.89 |
+8.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.930 |
$10.48 |
$0.56 |
+5.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.835 |
$10.15 |
$1.16 |
+13.0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
173 |
0.055 |
$9.53 |
$-17.21 |
-64.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Yes |
73 |
0.125 |
$9.10 |
$-3.56 |
-28.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.675 |
$8.21 |
$-0.53 |
-6.1% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
57 |
0.143 |
$8.11 |
$3.02 |
+59.2% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
314 |
0.025 |
$7.98 |
$-1.23 |
-13.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.675 |
$7.61 |
$-0.62 |
-7.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
19 |
0.385 |
$7.47 |
$2.43 |
+48.1% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
250 |
0.029 |
$7.38 |
$2.38 |
+47.5% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
11 |
0.644 |
$7.08 |
$0.59 |
+9.2% |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
30 |
0.220 |
$6.60 |
$1.50 |
+29.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? |
Yes |
8 |
0.745 |
$6.32 |
$-0.15 |
-2.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.545 |
$6.26 |
$-2.19 |
-25.9% |
| Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? |
No |
6 |
0.963 |
$6.06 |
$0.95 |
+18.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
6 |
0.968 |
$5.95 |
$-0.05 |
-0.8% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.895 |
$5.88 |
$-0.23 |
-3.7% |
| Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.360 |
$5.68 |
$2.68 |
+89.5% |
| Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-07-25? |
Yes |
11 |
0.500 |
$5.59 |
$0.56 |
+11.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
6 |
0.865 |
$5.58 |
$0.23 |
+4.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
6 |
0.926 |
$5.58 |
$0.58 |
+11.6% |