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Trader leaderboard/darkestpool

darkestpool

0x10445fd428f2293dec2d117f3cf75f9c57d88ceb
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$11
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$13
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-16.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
14%
1W / 6L · 38 open
Win Return (30d)
25%
10W / 30L · 5 open
Trades (30d)
45
across 37 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$1.50
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.02
$0 won / $11 lost
Reward / Risk
0.14
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $315 · all-time $83,562

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 48.8% 455W/478L 850 $4,078
⚽ Sports 49.2% 29W/30L 58 $348
🏛 Politics 100.0% 1W/0L 5 $27

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

172 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No 218 0.135 $29.39 $-1.67 -5.4%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No 17 0.865 $14.45 $6.05 +72.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 85 0.165 $14.01 $-1.27 -8.3%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? No 11 0.989 $11.26 $0.89 +8.6%
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No 11 0.930 $10.48 $0.56 +5.7%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 12 0.835 $10.15 $1.16 +13.0%
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 173 0.055 $9.53 $-17.21 -64.4%
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes 73 0.115 $8.37 $-4.29 -33.9%
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No 12 0.685 $8.34 $-0.41 -4.7%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 57 0.143 $8.11 $3.02 +59.2%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes 314 0.025 $7.98 $-1.23 -13.3%
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes 11 0.675 $7.61 $-0.62 -7.5%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No 19 0.385 $7.47 $2.43 +48.1%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 250 0.029 $7.38 $2.38 +47.5%
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 11 0.643 $7.08 $0.59 +9.1%
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes 30 0.215 $6.45 $1.35 +26.5%
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? Yes 8 0.745 $6.32 $-0.15 -2.3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 11 0.545 $6.26 $-2.19 -25.9%
Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? No 6 0.963 $6.05 $0.95 +18.6%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? No 6 0.968 $5.95 $-0.05 -0.9%
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No 7 0.905 $5.95 $-0.16 -2.6%
Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-07-25? Yes 11 0.505 $5.65 $0.61 +12.2%
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes 6 0.865 $5.58 $0.23 +4.3%
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 6 0.926 $5.58 $0.58 +11.6%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 219 0.025 $5.56 $-0.59 -9.5%