| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
No |
218 |
0.135 |
$29.39 |
$-1.67 |
-5.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
85 |
0.155 |
$13.16 |
$-2.12 |
-13.9% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
17 |
0.775 |
$12.94 |
$4.55 |
+54.2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.988 |
$11.25 |
$0.88 |
+8.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? |
No |
11 |
0.930 |
$10.48 |
$0.56 |
+5.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
12 |
0.845 |
$10.27 |
$1.29 |
+14.3% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Yes |
173 |
0.055 |
$9.53 |
$-17.21 |
-64.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House |
Yes |
73 |
0.125 |
$9.10 |
$-3.56 |
-28.1% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
12 |
0.680 |
$8.28 |
$-0.47 |
-5.4% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
57 |
0.143 |
$8.11 |
$3.02 |
+59.2% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
314 |
0.025 |
$7.98 |
$-1.23 |
-13.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.675 |
$7.61 |
$-0.62 |
-7.5% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
250 |
0.029 |
$7.38 |
$2.38 |
+47.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
19 |
0.375 |
$7.27 |
$2.23 |
+44.3% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
No |
11 |
0.642 |
$7.06 |
$0.57 |
+8.8% |
| Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? |
Yes |
7 |
1.000 |
$7.00 |
$5.67 |
+426.1% |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
30 |
0.225 |
$6.75 |
$1.65 |
+32.3% |
| Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.415 |
$6.55 |
$3.55 |
+118.4% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? |
Yes |
8 |
0.745 |
$6.32 |
$-0.15 |
-2.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
11 |
0.545 |
$6.26 |
$-2.19 |
-25.9% |
| Will Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? |
No |
6 |
0.964 |
$6.06 |
$0.96 |
+18.8% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.905 |
$5.95 |
$-0.16 |
-2.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
6 |
0.965 |
$5.93 |
$-0.07 |
-1.2% |
| Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-07-25? |
Yes |
11 |
0.500 |
$5.59 |
$0.56 |
+11.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
6 |
0.927 |
$5.58 |
$0.59 |
+11.7% |