| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
3,200 |
0.954 |
$3,051.20 |
$36.20 |
+1.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,202 |
0.925 |
$2,961.66 |
$130.05 |
+4.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,105 |
0.550 |
$2,257.76 |
$643.49 |
+39.9% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
2,772 |
0.290 |
$803.82 |
$244.00 |
+43.6% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
600 |
0.705 |
$423.00 |
$143.00 |
+51.1% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
399 |
0.974 |
$388.81 |
$-2.26 |
-0.6% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
372 |
0.945 |
$351.59 |
$1.86 |
+0.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
312 |
0.935 |
$292.00 |
$17.18 |
+6.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.00 |
$-3.00 |
-1.6% |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? |
No |
246 |
0.760 |
$186.74 |
$-17.94 |
-8.8% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? |
No |
179 |
0.965 |
$172.75 |
$3.65 |
+2.2% |
| Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? |
No |
356 |
0.450 |
$160.39 |
$-14.73 |
-8.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.730 |
$146.00 |
$2.00 |
+1.4% |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028? |
No |
200 |
0.695 |
$138.98 |
$-21.02 |
-13.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.675 |
$135.00 |
$25.00 |
+22.7% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
200 |
0.635 |
$127.00 |
$3.00 |
+2.4% |
| Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? |
No |
777 |
0.150 |
$116.51 |
$-30.23 |
-20.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.045 |
$90.00 |
$-570.00 |
-86.4% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
202 |
0.345 |
$69.79 |
$35.39 |
+102.9% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.315 |
$63.00 |
$-33.00 |
-34.4% |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? |
No |
263 |
0.170 |
$44.69 |
$-68.69 |
-60.6% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
54 |
0.780 |
$42.32 |
$4.45 |
+11.8% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.485 |
$41.77 |
$-42.63 |
-50.5% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30? |
Yes |
159 |
0.095 |
$15.11 |
$-2.39 |
-13.6% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
Yes |
38 |
0.135 |
$5.09 |
$0.57 |
+12.5% |