| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
3,200 |
0.955 |
$3,054.40 |
$39.40 |
+1.3% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,202 |
0.925 |
$2,961.66 |
$130.05 |
+4.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,105 |
0.545 |
$2,237.24 |
$622.96 |
+38.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
2,772 |
0.285 |
$789.69 |
$229.86 |
+41.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
600 |
0.705 |
$423.00 |
$143.00 |
+51.1% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
399 |
0.972 |
$388.21 |
$-2.86 |
-0.7% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
372 |
0.945 |
$351.59 |
$1.86 |
+0.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
312 |
0.935 |
$292.00 |
$17.18 |
+6.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
200 |
0.945 |
$189.00 |
$-3.00 |
-1.6% |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? |
No |
246 |
0.760 |
$186.74 |
$-17.94 |
-8.8% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? |
No |
179 |
0.965 |
$172.75 |
$3.65 |
+2.2% |
| Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? |
No |
356 |
0.450 |
$160.39 |
$-14.73 |
-8.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31? |
Yes |
200 |
0.730 |
$146.00 |
$2.00 |
+1.4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.675 |
$135.00 |
$25.00 |
+22.7% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
200 |
0.630 |
$126.00 |
$2.00 |
+1.6% |
| Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? |
No |
777 |
0.150 |
$116.51 |
$-30.23 |
-20.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.045 |
$90.00 |
$-570.00 |
-86.4% |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2028? |
No |
200 |
0.390 |
$78.00 |
$-82.00 |
-51.2% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
202 |
0.335 |
$67.78 |
$33.39 |
+97.1% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.320 |
$64.00 |
$-32.00 |
-33.3% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
54 |
0.785 |
$42.59 |
$4.73 |
+12.5% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.485 |
$41.77 |
$-42.63 |
-50.5% |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? |
No |
263 |
0.125 |
$32.86 |
$-80.52 |
-71.0% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30? |
Yes |
159 |
0.095 |
$15.11 |
$-2.39 |
-13.6% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
Yes |
38 |
0.135 |
$5.09 |
$0.57 |
+12.5% |