| Xi Jinping out before 2027? |
No |
3,200 |
0.958 |
$3,064.00 |
$49.00 |
+1.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
3,202 |
0.925 |
$2,961.66 |
$130.05 |
+4.6% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,105 |
0.560 |
$2,298.81 |
$684.54 |
+42.4% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
2,772 |
0.320 |
$886.98 |
$327.15 |
+58.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
600 |
0.710 |
$426.00 |
$146.00 |
+52.1% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? |
Yes |
399 |
0.962 |
$384.21 |
$-6.85 |
-1.8% |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? |
No |
372 |
0.945 |
$351.59 |
$1.86 |
+0.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? |
No |
312 |
0.935 |
$292.00 |
$17.18 |
+6.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
200 |
0.955 |
$191.00 |
$-1.00 |
-0.5% |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? |
No |
179 |
0.965 |
$172.75 |
$3.65 |
+2.2% |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? |
No |
246 |
0.695 |
$170.74 |
$-33.94 |
-16.6% |
| Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? |
No |
356 |
0.450 |
$160.39 |
$-14.73 |
-8.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
200 |
0.685 |
$137.00 |
$13.00 |
+10.5% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
200 |
0.675 |
$135.00 |
$25.00 |
+22.7% |
| Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in August? |
No |
777 |
0.150 |
$116.51 |
$-30.23 |
-20.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.045 |
$90.00 |
$-570.00 |
-86.4% |
| Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
202 |
0.345 |
$69.79 |
$35.39 |
+102.9% |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? |
Yes |
200 |
0.310 |
$62.00 |
$-34.00 |
-35.4% |
| National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026? |
No |
263 |
0.170 |
$44.69 |
$-68.69 |
-60.6% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? |
Yes |
54 |
0.770 |
$41.78 |
$3.91 |
+10.3% |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by July 31, 2026? |
No |
86 |
0.485 |
$41.77 |
$-42.63 |
-50.5% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? |
Yes |
44 |
0.570 |
$24.99 |
$-0.44 |
-1.7% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by September 30? |
Yes |
159 |
0.095 |
$15.11 |
$-2.39 |
-13.6% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? |
Yes |
38 |
0.135 |
$5.09 |
$0.57 |
+12.5% |