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Trader leaderboard/Bikesarethebest

Bikesarethebest

0x0a6d26d31b28fd5a84c301f8b27296612f3b1d0a
Scoped to Science — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$39
Science · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$149
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.8%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
38W / 0L · 38 open
Win Return (30d)
97%
74W / 2L
Trades (30d)
76
across 16 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$7.73
avg win $8
Profit Factor
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $61,214 · all-time $21,251,966

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.0% 2,008W/1,708L 428 $779,012
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/124L 68 $115,262
₿ Crypto 63.0% 143W/84L 49 $1,540
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/120L 29 $17,264
⚽ Sports 24 $12,623
🎬 Culture 10 $248
🤖 Tech 8 $2,233
🔬 Science 5 $67
🌤 Weather 3 $21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 5,342 0.723 $3,859.29 $286.94 +8.0%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 3,382 0.954 $3,226.88 $50.44 +1.6%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 2,922 0.996 $2,909.21 $248.68 +9.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 2,280 0.875 $1,995.00 $353.40 +21.5%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 1,985 0.988 $1,960.24 $26.80 +1.4%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? No 1,980 0.987 $1,953.24 $81.84 +4.4%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? No 1,929 0.966 $1,863.09 $31.83 +1.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,401 0.755 $1,812.97 $130.17 +7.7%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 1,625 0.991 $1,610.12 $43.86 +2.8%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No 1,461 0.985 $1,439.23 $13.15 +0.9%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 1,503 0.895 $1,345.32 $288.27 +27.3%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 1,598 0.824 $1,316.86 $20.35 +1.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? No 1,345 0.975 $1,310.63 $10.74 +0.8%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 1,371 0.956 $1,310.53 $63.77 +5.1%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 1,330 0.984 $1,309.02 $38.80 +3.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 1,318 0.973 $1,282.28 $9.22 +0.7%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 1,214 0.977 $1,185.47 $37.44 +3.3%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 1,146 0.935 $1,071.40 $220.18 +25.9%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 1,096 0.976 $1,069.72 $46.83 +4.6%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 2,155 0.493 $1,063.40 $42.70 +4.2%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 1,020 0.980 $999.05 $21.41 +2.2%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 1,110 0.895 $993.04 $27.74 +2.9%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No 1,008 0.966 $973.53 $57.87 +6.3%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 982 0.969 $951.26 $15.79 +1.7%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 2,082 0.445 $926.44 $-43.83 -4.5%