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Trader leaderboard/Bikesarethebest

Bikesarethebest

0x0a6d26d31b28fd5a84c301f8b27296612f3b1d0a
PnL (30d)
−$4,071
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$2,049
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.9%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
54%
1,994W / 1,707L · 15,190 open
Win Return (30d)
21%
4,023W / 14,864L · 4 open
Trades (30d)
18,891
across 428 markets · ~44 per market
EV / position
−$36.35
avg win $54 · loss $118
Profit Factor
0.41
$2,871 won / $6,943 lost
Reward / Risk
0.46
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$4,631
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $60,148 · all-time $21,250,900

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 53.9% 1,994W/1,707L 428 $779,012
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/124L 68 $115,262
₿ Crypto 63.0% 143W/84L 49 $1,540
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/120L 29 $17,264
⚽ Sports 24 $12,623
🎬 Culture 10 $248
🤖 Tech 8 $2,233
🔬 Science 5 $67
🌤 Weather 3 $21

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 5,342 0.723 $3,859.29 $286.94 +8.0%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 3,382 0.954 $3,225.19 $48.75 +1.5%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 2,922 0.995 $2,907.74 $247.21 +9.3%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 2,280 0.875 $1,995.00 $353.40 +21.5%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 1,985 0.987 $1,958.25 $24.81 +1.3%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? No 1,980 0.987 $1,953.24 $81.84 +4.4%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? No 1,929 0.966 $1,863.09 $31.83 +1.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,401 0.755 $1,812.97 $130.17 +7.7%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 1,625 0.991 $1,610.12 $43.86 +2.8%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No 1,461 0.985 $1,439.23 $13.15 +0.9%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 1,503 0.890 $1,337.81 $280.76 +26.6%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 1,598 0.825 $1,317.66 $21.15 +1.6%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? No 1,345 0.975 $1,310.63 $10.74 +0.8%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 1,371 0.956 $1,310.53 $63.77 +5.1%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 1,330 0.980 $1,303.04 $32.82 +2.6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 1,318 0.974 $1,282.94 $9.88 +0.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 1,214 0.977 $1,185.47 $37.44 +3.3%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 1,120 0.972 $1,088.11 $42.81 +4.1%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 2,195 0.490 $1,075.46 $35.81 +3.4%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 1,146 0.935 $1,071.40 $220.18 +25.9%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 1,110 0.915 $1,015.23 $49.93 +5.2%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 1,020 0.981 $1,000.07 $22.43 +2.3%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No 1,008 0.966 $974.04 $58.37 +6.4%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 982 0.968 $950.28 $14.81 +1.6%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 970 0.953 $923.98 $-10.75 -1.1%