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Trader leaderboard/Bikesarethebest

Bikesarethebest

0x0a6d26d31b28fd5a84c301f8b27296612f3b1d0a
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$13
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$412
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
144W / 84L · 225 open
Win Return (30d)
64%
290W / 163L
Trades (30d)
453
across 74 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$0.39
avg win $6 · loss $6
Profit Factor
0.88
$95 won / $109 lost
Reward / Risk
0.99
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$69
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $66,638 · all-time $21,257,389

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 54.0% 2,009W/1,708L 431 $780,026
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/124L 70 $115,751
₿ Crypto 63.2% 144W/84L 50 $1,549
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/120L 30 $17,273
⚽ Sports 25 $13,121
🎬 Culture 11 $265
🤖 Tech 8 $2,233
🔬 Science 5 $84
🌤 Weather 3 $38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 5,342 0.723 $3,859.29 $286.94 +8.0%
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? No 3,382 0.954 $3,226.88 $50.44 +1.6%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 2,922 0.997 $2,912.13 $251.60 +9.5%
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No 2,280 0.875 $1,995.00 $353.40 +21.5%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? No 1,980 0.987 $1,953.24 $81.84 +4.4%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 1,985 0.983 $1,950.31 $16.87 +0.9%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? No 1,929 0.967 $1,864.05 $32.80 +1.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No 2,401 0.750 $1,800.97 $118.16 +7.0%
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No 1,625 0.991 $1,610.12 $43.86 +2.8%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? No 1,461 0.985 $1,438.50 $12.42 +0.9%
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No 1,503 0.905 $1,360.35 $303.31 +28.7%
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? No 1,598 0.824 $1,316.86 $20.35 +1.6%
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No 1,371 0.956 $1,310.53 $63.77 +5.1%
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? No 1,330 0.984 $1,309.02 $38.80 +3.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? No 1,345 0.970 $1,304.58 $4.68 +0.4%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No 1,318 0.974 $1,282.94 $9.88 +0.8%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No 1,214 0.977 $1,185.47 $37.44 +3.3%
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No 1,146 0.935 $1,071.40 $220.18 +25.9%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No 1,096 0.974 $1,067.53 $44.63 +4.4%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 2,155 0.493 $1,063.40 $42.70 +4.2%
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? Yes 1,020 0.984 $1,003.64 $26.00 +2.7%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No 1,110 0.895 $993.04 $27.74 +2.9%
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No 1,008 0.963 $971.01 $55.35 +6.0%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 982 0.969 $951.26 $15.79 +1.7%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No 970 0.941 $912.83 $-21.90 -2.3%