PnL (30d)

+$3

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+7.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

78%

31W / 9L · 32 open

Win Return (30d)

74%

53W / 19L

Trades (30d)

72

across 10 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$1.68

avg win $4 · loss $0

Profit Factor

7.71

$4 won / $0 lost

Reward / Risk

7.71

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	81.1% 107W/25L	33	$301
🏛 Politics	—	2	$9
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$6
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	17	0.490	$8.15	$-0.28	-3.3%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	13	0.034	$0.45	$-0.41	-47.7%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	18	0.019	$0.34	$-0.66	-65.8%