PnL (30d)

+$9

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$10

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+6.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

81%

107W / 25L · 109 open

Win Return (30d)

66%

153W / 78L · 10 open

Trades (30d)

241

across 33 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$0.77

avg win $1 · loss $0

Profit Factor

5.85

$11 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

2.92

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	81.1% 107W/25L	33	$301
🏛 Politics	—	2	$9
₿ Crypto	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$6
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$6

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	17	0.478	$7.95	$-0.48	-5.7%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	13	0.031	$0.41	$-0.45	-52.3%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	18	0.019	$0.34	$-0.66	-65.8%