Lerben
0x097906ffc8a85dc7651c78b6d324cdb0b78dbf02
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$3
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+7.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
75%
33W / 11L · 8 open
Win Return (30d)
73%
33W / 12L · 7 open
Trades (30d)
52
across 6 markets · ~9 per market
EV / position
+$0.63
avg win $2 · loss $1
Profit Factor
2.99
$4 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
2.99
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $253 · all-time $5,810
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
No |
17 |
0.489 |
$8.15 |
$-0.29 |
-3.4% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
13 |
0.034 |
$0.45 |
$-0.41 |
-47.7% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
Yes |
18 |
0.019 |
$0.34 |
$-0.66 |
-65.8% |