| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
39,861 |
0.845 |
$33,682.54 |
$1,707.53 |
+5.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
27,223 |
0.987 |
$26,855.36 |
$1,421.96 |
+5.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
20,754 |
0.935 |
$19,405.17 |
$646.29 |
+3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
40,447 |
0.385 |
$15,571.91 |
$-3,043.92 |
-16.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
12,591 |
0.825 |
$10,387.43 |
$-657.28 |
-6.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
12,165 |
0.695 |
$8,453.61 |
$-9.50 |
-0.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
12,162 |
0.675 |
$8,209.40 |
$150.76 |
+1.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
6,711 |
0.972 |
$6,522.62 |
$-1.04 |
-0.0% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9,361 |
0.655 |
$6,131.35 |
$163.42 |
+2.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
8,240 |
0.705 |
$5,808.96 |
$2,754.11 |
+90.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
5,718 |
0.940 |
$5,374.88 |
$562.01 |
+11.7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
6,583 |
0.745 |
$4,904.59 |
$1,222.98 |
+33.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
4,867 |
0.955 |
$4,648.27 |
$354.14 |
+8.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
5,199 |
0.865 |
$4,497.14 |
$-13.99 |
-0.3% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
Yes |
12,586 |
0.355 |
$4,468.10 |
$547.41 |
+14.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,940 |
0.830 |
$4,100.60 |
$1,641.57 |
+66.8% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
5,002 |
0.715 |
$3,576.17 |
$525.63 |
+17.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
5,565 |
0.525 |
$2,921.70 |
$479.77 |
+19.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,458 |
0.655 |
$2,920.16 |
$68.20 |
+2.4% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
6,059 |
0.465 |
$2,817.60 |
$-721.05 |
-20.4% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
4,071 |
0.685 |
$2,788.35 |
$19.13 |
+0.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,264 |
0.853 |
$2,782.55 |
$394.43 |
+16.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
6,301 |
0.425 |
$2,680.98 |
$1,291.11 |
+92.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
3,156 |
0.815 |
$2,571.70 |
$428.85 |
+20.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
2,611 |
0.945 |
$2,467.39 |
$213.05 |
+9.5% |