| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
39,861 |
0.855 |
$34,081.15 |
$2,106.14 |
+6.6% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
27,223 |
0.987 |
$26,855.36 |
$1,421.96 |
+5.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
20,754 |
0.935 |
$19,405.17 |
$646.29 |
+3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
40,447 |
0.385 |
$15,571.91 |
$-3,043.92 |
-16.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
12,536 |
0.835 |
$10,467.41 |
$-529.05 |
-4.8% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
14,162 |
0.650 |
$9,205.35 |
$-153.29 |
-1.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
12,165 |
0.705 |
$8,576.48 |
$113.37 |
+1.3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
6,711 |
0.978 |
$6,559.53 |
$35.87 |
+0.5% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9,361 |
0.655 |
$6,131.35 |
$163.42 |
+2.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
8,240 |
0.710 |
$5,850.16 |
$2,795.31 |
+91.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
5,898 |
0.920 |
$5,426.50 |
$447.66 |
+9.0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
6,583 |
0.745 |
$4,904.59 |
$1,222.98 |
+33.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
4,867 |
0.945 |
$4,599.59 |
$305.47 |
+7.1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
5,199 |
0.865 |
$4,497.14 |
$-13.99 |
-0.3% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
Yes |
12,586 |
0.355 |
$4,468.10 |
$547.41 |
+14.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,940 |
0.800 |
$3,952.39 |
$1,493.36 |
+60.7% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
5,002 |
0.715 |
$3,576.17 |
$525.63 |
+17.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
5,565 |
0.525 |
$2,921.70 |
$479.77 |
+19.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,458 |
0.655 |
$2,920.16 |
$68.20 |
+2.4% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
6,059 |
0.475 |
$2,878.20 |
$-660.46 |
-18.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
6,523 |
0.440 |
$2,870.02 |
$1,384.25 |
+93.2% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
4,071 |
0.695 |
$2,828.65 |
$59.43 |
+2.1% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,264 |
0.850 |
$2,774.39 |
$386.27 |
+16.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
3,156 |
0.815 |
$2,571.70 |
$428.85 |
+20.0% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
Yes |
2,867 |
0.865 |
$2,479.69 |
$631.52 |
+34.2% |