| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
39,861 |
0.845 |
$33,682.54 |
$1,707.53 |
+5.3% |
| Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? |
No |
27,223 |
0.987 |
$26,855.36 |
$1,421.96 |
+5.6% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
20,754 |
0.935 |
$19,405.17 |
$646.29 |
+3.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
40,447 |
0.375 |
$15,167.44 |
$-3,448.39 |
-18.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
11,591 |
0.835 |
$9,678.35 |
$-556.37 |
-5.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
12,165 |
0.705 |
$8,576.48 |
$113.37 |
+1.3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
12,162 |
0.675 |
$8,209.40 |
$150.76 |
+1.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
6,711 |
0.975 |
$6,539.40 |
$15.74 |
+0.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
9,361 |
0.655 |
$6,131.35 |
$163.42 |
+2.7% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
Yes |
8,240 |
0.720 |
$5,932.56 |
$2,877.70 |
+94.2% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
5,718 |
0.935 |
$5,346.29 |
$533.42 |
+11.1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
No |
6,583 |
0.745 |
$4,904.59 |
$1,222.98 |
+33.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
4,867 |
0.945 |
$4,599.59 |
$305.47 |
+7.1% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
No |
5,199 |
0.875 |
$4,549.13 |
$38.00 |
+0.8% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? |
Yes |
12,586 |
0.355 |
$4,468.10 |
$547.41 |
+14.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,940 |
0.840 |
$4,150.01 |
$1,690.98 |
+68.8% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
5,002 |
0.715 |
$3,576.17 |
$525.63 |
+17.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
6,222 |
0.494 |
$3,073.61 |
$1,719.93 |
+127.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
4,458 |
0.655 |
$2,920.16 |
$68.20 |
+2.4% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
5,565 |
0.515 |
$2,866.05 |
$424.12 |
+17.4% |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
6,059 |
0.465 |
$2,817.60 |
$-721.05 |
-20.4% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? |
No |
4,071 |
0.685 |
$2,788.35 |
$19.13 |
+0.7% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
3,264 |
0.853 |
$2,782.55 |
$394.43 |
+16.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
3,156 |
0.805 |
$2,540.46 |
$397.61 |
+18.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
2,611 |
0.950 |
$2,480.44 |
$226.10 |
+10.0% |