| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? |
No |
207 |
0.489 |
$101.26 |
$-2.12 |
-2.1% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
100 |
0.775 |
$77.50 |
$4.50 |
+6.2% |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title |
Yes |
80 |
0.785 |
$63.00 |
$-1.05 |
-1.6% |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? |
No |
220 |
0.281 |
$61.76 |
$-20.67 |
-25.1% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
87 |
0.680 |
$59.09 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? |
No |
93 |
0.580 |
$54.00 |
$2.49 |
+4.8% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
129 |
0.390 |
$50.20 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
109 |
0.410 |
$44.88 |
$-4.94 |
-9.9% |
| Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? |
Yes |
74 |
0.605 |
$44.48 |
$-5.51 |
-11.0% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
72 |
0.585 |
$41.93 |
$-3.23 |
-7.1% |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.385 |
$38.50 |
$6.50 |
+20.3% |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? |
No |
100 |
0.375 |
$37.50 |
$-3.50 |
-8.5% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? |
Yes |
60 |
0.627 |
$37.47 |
$0.08 |
+0.2% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? |
No |
37 |
0.945 |
$35.22 |
$1.29 |
+3.8% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? |
No |
50 |
0.685 |
$34.25 |
$0.17 |
+0.5% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.650 |
$32.50 |
$-3.00 |
-8.5% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? |
No |
50 |
0.605 |
$30.25 |
$-0.25 |
-0.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? |
Yes |
167 |
0.175 |
$29.23 |
$-4.17 |
-12.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat? |
No |
200 |
0.145 |
$29.00 |
$-13.00 |
-31.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
54 |
0.510 |
$27.71 |
$-1.91 |
-6.4% |
| Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? |
No |
50 |
0.538 |
$26.93 |
$-0.07 |
-0.3% |
| Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? |
No |
46 |
0.565 |
$26.22 |
$1.16 |
+4.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
25 |
1.000 |
$24.88 |
$9.45 |
+61.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat? |
Yes |
27 |
0.875 |
$23.76 |
$0.05 |
+0.2% |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
40 |
0.590 |
$23.60 |
$-0.40 |
-1.7% |