| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? |
No |
90 |
0.944 |
$84.94 |
$3.02 |
+3.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
No |
100 |
0.775 |
$77.50 |
$4.50 |
+6.2% |
| Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? |
No |
220 |
0.281 |
$61.96 |
$-20.47 |
-24.8% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
No |
87 |
0.670 |
$58.22 |
$-0.87 |
-1.5% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? |
Yes |
129 |
0.395 |
$50.85 |
$0.64 |
+1.3% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? |
No |
83 |
0.585 |
$48.55 |
$2.90 |
+6.4% |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? |
Yes |
109 |
0.414 |
$45.32 |
$-4.51 |
-9.0% |
| Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? |
Yes |
74 |
0.605 |
$44.48 |
$-5.51 |
-11.0% |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? |
Yes |
72 |
0.580 |
$41.57 |
$-3.58 |
-7.9% |
| Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2027? |
Yes |
100 |
0.385 |
$38.50 |
$6.50 |
+20.3% |
| Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%? |
Yes |
60 |
0.630 |
$37.65 |
$0.26 |
+0.7% |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? |
No |
100 |
0.375 |
$37.50 |
$-3.50 |
-8.5% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? |
No |
50 |
0.690 |
$34.49 |
$0.41 |
+1.2% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? |
No |
50 |
0.680 |
$34.00 |
$-1.50 |
-4.2% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? |
No |
68 |
0.490 |
$33.30 |
$-2.99 |
-8.2% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
40 |
0.815 |
$32.60 |
$0.20 |
+0.6% |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? |
No |
50 |
0.605 |
$30.25 |
$-0.25 |
-0.8% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
Yes |
54 |
0.540 |
$29.34 |
$-0.28 |
-0.9% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? |
Yes |
167 |
0.175 |
$29.23 |
$-4.17 |
-12.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat? |
No |
200 |
0.145 |
$29.00 |
$-13.00 |
-31.0% |
| Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? |
No |
50 |
0.538 |
$26.93 |
$-0.07 |
-0.3% |
| Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? |
No |
46 |
0.565 |
$26.22 |
$1.16 |
+4.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
25 |
1.000 |
$24.88 |
$9.45 |
+61.2% |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat? |
Yes |
27 |
0.875 |
$23.76 |
$0.05 |
+0.2% |
| Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? |
Yes |
34 |
0.700 |
$23.75 |
$-1.47 |
-5.8% |