beggarrr
0x032aa3277e1d7970f0f5c7d66add7af5ace1cf07
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
−$156
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-48.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
12%
35W / 248L
Win Return (30d)
12%
35W / 248L
Trades (30d)
283
across 61 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$2.56
avg win $8 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.30
$66 won / $222 lost
Reward / Risk
1.97
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$28
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $18,563 · all-time $1,620,537
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
No |
1,462 |
0.003 |
$3.65 |
$-4.86 |
-57.1% |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
Yes |
111 |
0.025 |
$2.78 |
$0.08 |
+3.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
163 |
0.013 |
$2.04 |
$-1.46 |
-41.7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
39 |
0.030 |
$1.20 |
$-1.30 |
-51.9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? |
Yes |
1,214 |
0.001 |
$0.61 |
$-4.63 |
-88.4% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
No |
480 |
0.001 |
$0.48 |
$-5.61 |
-92.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
No |
667 |
0.001 |
$0.33 |
$-10.03 |
-96.8% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026? |
Yes |
250 |
0.001 |
$0.12 |
$-0.88 |
-87.5% |