PnL (30d)

−$736

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$27

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-60.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

9%

108W / 1,080L · 41 open

Win Return (30d)

9%

114W / 1,115L

Trades (30d)

1,229

across 270 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$2.85

avg win $8 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.15

$132 won / $868 lost

Reward / Risk

2.15

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$146

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	9.1% 108W/1,080L	270	$1,660
🏛 Politics	17.7% 14W/65L	18	$123
🎬 Culture	26.7% 12W/33L	8	$77
💵 Economy	7.4% 2W/25L	6	$38

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	1,462	0.002	$2.19	$-6.33	-74.3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	714	0.003	$1.79	$-2.45	-57.9%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	111	0.013	$1.50	$-1.20	-44.4%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	40	0.032	$1.27	$-2.73	-68.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	No	480	0.002	$0.72	$-5.37	-88.2%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	Yes	52	0.012	$0.62	$-1.38	-68.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	667	0.001	$0.33	$-10.03	-96.8%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?	Yes	250	0.001	$0.12	$-0.88	-87.5%