PnL (30d)

−$12

Economy · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

$0

no open positions

ROI (30d)

-21.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

9%

5W / 52L

Win Return (30d)

9%

5W / 52L

Trades (30d)

57

across 12 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

−$0.98

avg win $15 · loss $4

Profit Factor

0.72

$31 won / $42 lost

Reward / Risk

3.61

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$21

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	9.1% 108W/1,080L	270	$1,660
🏛 Politics	23.0% 14W/47L	17	$111
🎬 Culture	26.7% 12W/33L	8	$77
💵 Economy	20.0% 2W/8L	5	$26

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

8 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	79	0.030	$2.41	$-2.59	-51.9%
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?	Yes	111	0.021	$2.38	$-0.32	-11.8%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?	No	1,462	0.002	$2.19	$-6.33	-74.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	Yes	163	0.013	$2.04	$-1.46	-41.7%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	1,214	0.002	$1.82	$-3.42	-65.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?	No	480	0.002	$0.72	$-5.37	-88.2%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?	No	667	0.001	$0.33	$-10.03	-96.8%
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 3, 2026?	Yes	250	0.001	$0.12	$-0.88	-87.5%