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Trader leaderboard/TorlaeAgeDefying

TorlaeAgeDefying

0x0174534317fdaadb6a5dea224001160b09e92150
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$14
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+92.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
50%
1W / 1L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
40%
2W / 3L
Trades (30d)
5
across 5 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$7.14
avg win $19 · loss $5
Profit Factor
3.86
$19 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
3.86
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,189 · all-time $6,898

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.2% 12W/11L 44 $359
💵 Economy 50.0% 1W/1L 5 $16
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 4 $11
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 4 $82
🎬 Culture 100.0% 2W/0L 3 $78
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $9
⚽ Sports 2 $9
🔬 Science 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? Yes 9 0.943 $8.74 $0.03 +0.3%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.682 $6.82 $-2.58 -27.4%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? Yes 8 0.870 $6.59 $1.59 +31.8%
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? Yes 45 0.140 $6.36 $1.36 +27.3%
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 17 0.365 $6.29 $1.29 +25.9%
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? Yes 42 0.150 $6.25 $2.55 +68.8%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? Yes 7 0.828 $5.99 $1.14 +23.6%
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? Yes 5 0.936 $4.68 $0.04 +0.9%
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? Yes 15 0.315 $4.63 $-0.37 -7.4%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31? Yes 33 0.125 $4.17 $-0.83 -16.7%
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? Yes 45 0.090 $4.09 $-0.68 -14.3%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 9 0.440 $3.86 $-1.14 -22.8%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? Yes 13 0.285 $3.75 $-0.99 -20.9%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? Yes 45 0.075 $3.41 $-1.59 -31.8%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 62 0.054 $3.38 $-1.02 -23.3%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August? Yes 11 0.285 $3.24 $-1.76 -35.3%
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce? Yes 22 0.140 $3.04 $-1.74 -36.4%
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026? Yes 12 0.245 $2.92 $-2.08 -41.7%
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%? Yes 109 0.024 $2.61 $-2.39 -47.8%
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? Yes 3 0.950 $2.40 $0.05 +2.1%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in August? Yes 50 0.042 $2.10 $-0.37 -15.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August? Yes 45 0.040 $1.82 $-3.18 -63.6%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August? Yes 14 0.105 $1.50 $-3.50 -70.0%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 33 0.040 $1.33 $-2.00 -60.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August? Yes 21 0.055 $1.15 $-3.85 -77.1%