Log in
Trader leaderboard/TorlaeAgeDefying

TorlaeAgeDefying

0x0174534317fdaadb6a5dea224001160b09e92150
PnL (30d)
+$92
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$29
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+46.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
52%
12W / 11L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
41%
16W / 23L
Trades (30d)
39
across 33 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
+$5.42
avg win $18 · loss $8
Profit Factor
2.37
$159 won / $67 lost
Reward / Risk
2.11
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$15
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,189 · all-time $6,898

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.2% 12W/11L 33 $322
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 3 $79
💵 Economy 50.0% 1W/1L 2 $10
🎬 Culture 100.0% 2W/0L 2 $74
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 1 $5
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 1 $5
⚽ Sports 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? Yes 9 0.943 $8.74 $0.03 +0.3%
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 17 0.480 $8.27 $3.27 +65.5%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.675 $6.75 $-2.64 -28.1%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? Yes 8 0.870 $6.59 $1.59 +31.8%
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? Yes 42 0.155 $6.46 $2.76 +74.4%
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? Yes 45 0.140 $6.36 $1.36 +27.3%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? Yes 7 0.874 $6.33 $1.48 +30.4%
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? Yes 5 0.936 $4.68 $0.04 +0.9%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31? Yes 33 0.125 $4.17 $-0.83 -16.7%
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? Yes 45 0.090 $4.09 $-0.68 -14.3%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 9 0.450 $3.95 $-1.05 -21.1%
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce? Yes 22 0.180 $3.91 $-0.87 -18.2%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? Yes 13 0.290 $3.81 $-0.92 -19.4%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 62 0.060 $3.75 $-0.65 -14.8%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? Yes 45 0.075 $3.41 $-1.59 -31.8%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August? Yes 11 0.290 $3.29 $-1.70 -34.1%
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026? Yes 12 0.245 $2.92 $-2.08 -41.7%
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%? Yes 109 0.024 $2.61 $-2.39 -47.8%
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? Yes 3 0.950 $2.40 $0.05 +2.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August? Yes 45 0.045 $2.05 $-2.95 -59.1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August? Yes 14 0.140 $2.00 $-3.00 -60.0%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August? Yes 21 0.080 $1.67 $-3.33 -66.7%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in August? Yes 50 0.031 $1.55 $-0.92 -37.2%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 33 0.040 $1.33 $-2.00 -60.0%
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 11 0.105 $1.12 $-3.88 -77.7%