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Trader leaderboard/TorlaeAgeDefying

TorlaeAgeDefying

0x0174534317fdaadb6a5dea224001160b09e92150
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$5
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$3
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-45.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 1L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 4L
Trades (30d)
4
across 4 markets · ~1 per market
EV / position
−$5.00
· loss $5
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $5 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$5
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,189 · all-time $6,898

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 52.2% 12W/11L 44 $359
💵 Economy 50.0% 1W/1L 5 $16
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/1L 4 $11
🏛 Politics 100.0% 2W/0L 4 $82
🎬 Culture 100.0% 2W/0L 3 $78
🤖 Tech 100.0% 1W/0L 2 $9
⚽ Sports 2 $9
🔬 Science 1 $5

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

31 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? Yes 9 0.942 $8.73 $0.02 +0.2%
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? Yes 17 0.445 $7.67 $2.67 +53.4%
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes 10 0.677 $6.77 $-2.63 -28.0%
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? Yes 8 0.870 $6.59 $1.59 +31.8%
Will PPI YoY be 5.2% in July? Yes 45 0.140 $6.36 $1.36 +27.3%
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026? Yes 42 0.150 $6.25 $2.55 +68.8%
Will John Braun earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? Yes 7 0.830 $6.01 $1.15 +23.8%
Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? Yes 5 0.936 $4.68 $0.04 +0.9%
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by August 31? Yes 33 0.125 $4.17 $-0.83 -16.7%
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? Yes 45 0.090 $4.09 $-0.68 -14.3%
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 9 0.445 $3.90 $-1.10 -21.9%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31? Yes 13 0.290 $3.81 $-0.92 -19.4%
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 62 0.060 $3.75 $-0.65 -14.8%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? Yes 45 0.075 $3.41 $-1.59 -31.8%
Will Rafael Leao join Fenerbahce? Yes 22 0.140 $3.04 $-1.74 -36.4%
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026? Yes 12 0.245 $2.92 $-2.08 -41.7%
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in August? Yes 11 0.250 $2.84 $-2.16 -43.2%
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%? Yes 109 0.025 $2.66 $-2.34 -46.7%
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? Yes 3 0.950 $2.40 $0.05 +2.1%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August? Yes 14 0.140 $2.00 $-3.00 -60.0%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in August? Yes 45 0.040 $1.82 $-3.18 -63.6%
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in August? Yes 50 0.032 $1.60 $-0.87 -35.2%
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $457.50 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 33 0.041 $1.35 $-1.98 -59.5%
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 11 0.105 $1.12 $-3.88 -77.7%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August? Yes 21 0.050 $1.04 $-3.96 -79.2%