| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
5,995 |
0.835 |
$5,005.58 |
$540.92 |
+12.1% |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? |
No |
1,853 |
0.865 |
$1,602.83 |
$310.40 |
+24.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
Yes |
1,523 |
0.900 |
$1,370.31 |
$333.08 |
+32.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
1,267 |
0.999 |
$1,265.48 |
$403.50 |
+46.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,200 |
0.865 |
$1,037.97 |
$59.01 |
+6.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
Yes |
840 |
0.945 |
$793.48 |
$62.85 |
+8.6% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.915 |
$640.50 |
$42.50 |
+7.1% |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? |
No |
700 |
0.888 |
$621.95 |
$18.85 |
+3.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
600 |
0.935 |
$560.97 |
$27.00 |
+5.1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? |
No |
600 |
0.905 |
$543.00 |
$56.00 |
+11.5% |
| Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? |
No |
500 |
0.975 |
$487.25 |
$26.15 |
+5.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
400 |
0.960 |
$384.00 |
$12.00 |
+3.2% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
300 |
0.948 |
$284.40 |
$14.10 |
+5.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
1,447 |
0.165 |
$238.75 |
$-182.90 |
-43.4% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? |
No |
197 |
0.905 |
$178.22 |
$6.89 |
+4.0% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
456 |
0.278 |
$126.54 |
$-29.27 |
-18.8% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
459 |
0.225 |
$103.11 |
$13.74 |
+15.4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
416 |
0.230 |
$95.60 |
$-28.04 |
-22.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? |
No |
104 |
0.861 |
$89.19 |
$4.30 |
+5.1% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
Yes |
125 |
0.705 |
$88.13 |
$16.88 |
+23.7% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
120 |
0.275 |
$33.00 |
$17.40 |
+111.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
Yes |
894 |
0.033 |
$29.05 |
$-15.81 |
-35.2% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Yes |
300 |
0.075 |
$22.50 |
$1.50 |
+7.1% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? |
No |
100 |
0.220 |
$22.00 |
$-24.00 |
-52.2% |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
15 |
0.985 |
$14.32 |
$3.19 |
+28.7% |